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UK Covid News
Prediction markets for UK Covid
Prediction markets for UK Covid
Will the UK reinstate any COVID-related entry requirements before 2025?
May 18, 2:39 PM
Jan 25, 12:00 AM
10.6%
chance
7
67
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
140
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the UK before 2025?
Feb 23, 7:42 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
2.48%
chance
16
2128
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2195
903
Conditional on Labour winning the next UK Election, will they recover £1B of fraudulent COVID loans?
Oct 11, 6:42 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44%
chance
6
66
Option
Votes
YES
NO
155
145
Will Covid vaccines or boosters become available privately in the UK in 2024?
Dec 27, 1:26 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
51.11%
chance
5
60
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
103
Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040
May 16, 12:04 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
39.3%
chance
18
170
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1036
972
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
May 27, 8:49 PM
May 2, 6:59 AM
34%
chance
27
780
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1258
703
Will any medication be approved for Long Covid/PASC in any Western country before 2026?
Dec 1, 12:29 PM
Jan 14, 10:59 PM
14
719
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 60% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
May 27, 11:08 PM
May 2, 6:59 AM
32.8%
chance
5
58
Option
Votes
YES
NO
166
106
Will there be major global lockdowns before 2031?
Apr 14, 4:52 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
35.99%
chance
5
398
Option
Votes
YES
NO
185
165
Up to M5000 for evidence there is a rise in disability awards consistent with hypothetical widespread vaccine injuries.
Jul 19, 12:39 PM
Jul 19, 9:59 PM
0
0
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12
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