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Prediction markets for Total Energies

By the year 2030, renewable energy sources will account for more than 50% of the world's total energy consumption.

Aug 6, 8:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.33%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

965

Will we get fusion drives before 2040?

Jun 2, 5:19 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

10.83%chance

122363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2870

348

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Sep 13, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

971

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

70.85%chance

14624

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1543

892

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Jan 17, 1:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.65%chance

291945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

959

Will the world reach peak oil production before 2030?

Jan 23, 4:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.2%chance

321814

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

917

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

43.83%chance

161022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

856

How much of the United State's energy will be produced by fossil fuels in 2040?

Sep 4, 6:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

21.25%chance

15472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

965

[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

Oct 13, 4:17 PMJul 2, 5:00 PM

73.18%chance

353134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

828

Will global peak oil production occur before 2026?

Jan 17, 12:29 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.5%chance

20567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

694

Will global peak oil production occur before 2029?

Jan 20, 2:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60.95%chance

241413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

862

Will renewable energy sources surpass fossil fuels as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050?

Apr 22, 8:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.17%chance

14356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1204

937

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Severe Storms Hit Houston with Winds Up to 117 mph, Causing Four Fatalities and Widespread Damage
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1 month
Climate
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