The Washington Times News

Will Robert Winnett be employed as editor of the Washington Post at any time in 2024?

Jun 17, 2:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?

Dec 17, 3:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.88%chance

542437

OptionVotes

YES

1363

796

🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2

Feb 28, 7:57 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

7132940

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

4.64%chance

2655212

OptionVotes

YES

74453

15607

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

Jun 11, 12:15 AMAug 13, 4:59 AM

10.28%chance

5725913

OptionVotes

YES

29479

3521

♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?

Apr 7, 2:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

90.15%chance

10860

OptionVotes

YES

3481

2513

Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?

Nov 21, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.2%chance

341775

OptionVotes

YES

1119

952

<60% Chance of Biden as Democratic Nominee before August?

Jun 30, 1:30 AMAug 1, 9:59 PM

45.39%chance

11874

OptionVotes

YES

1097

912

If Trump defeats Biden in the 2024 election, will the media consensus be that Biden wasn't right-wing enough?

Nov 20, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.16%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

1140

915

Will effective altruism splinter in 2024?

Dec 31, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.68%chance

231530

OptionVotes

YES

1224

899

Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?

Apr 21, 7:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.8%chance

174767

OptionVotes

YES

1175

869

Will One Of The Top 5 American Newspapers Use The Word "Transbian" By August 2024?

Aug 10, 7:13 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

32.88%chance

431832

OptionVotes

YES

1351

748

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The Washington Times News

Prediction markets for The Washington Times

Prediction markets for The Washington Times

Prediction markets for The Washington Times

Will Robert Winnett be employed as editor of the Washington Post at any time in 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?

🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?

Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?

<60% Chance of Biden as Democratic Nominee before August?

If Trump defeats Biden in the 2024 election, will the media consensus be that Biden wasn't right-wing enough?

Will effective altruism splinter in 2024?

Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?

Will One Of The Top 5 American Newspapers Use The Word "Transbian" By August 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Washington Times

Prediction markets for The Washington Times

Prediction markets for The Washington Times

Will Robert Winnett be employed as editor of the Washington Post at any time in 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?

🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?

Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?