The Times of Israel News

Which month will Israel's Iron Beam defense be used for the first time?

Dec 28, 1:25 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

9738

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.98%chance

256444

OptionVotes

YES

7198

4144

🛑⚔️ Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?

Dec 28, 11:58 PMDec 31, 5:00 PM

38.75%chance

363247

OptionVotes

YES

3305

2715

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?

Nov 24, 11:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.4%chance

13612544

OptionVotes

YES

1626

905

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July?

May 30, 9:58 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

14.56%chance

6411204

OptionVotes

YES

2423

413

[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

Nov 6, 7:48 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

7.18%chance

13919969

OptionVotes

YES

4882

819

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of September 6th?

Jun 9, 7:12 PMSep 7, 6:59 AM

37.69%chance

413836

OptionVotes

YES

1286

778

Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?

Dec 29, 9:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.79%chance

351656

OptionVotes

YES

1123

663

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

May 31, 4:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.59%chance

302187

OptionVotes

YES

1350

740

In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?

Jun 5, 11:02 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

32.77%chance

51430

OptionVotes

YES

1432

698

[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?

Aug 3, 11:25 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.96%chance

181094

OptionVotes

YES

1096

937

Will Israel declare victory against Hamas in 2024?

Dec 26, 6:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.06%chance

311151

OptionVotes

YES

960

952

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The Times of Israel News

Prediction markets for The Times of Israel

Prediction markets for The Times of Israel

Prediction markets for The Times of Israel

Which month will Israel's Iron Beam defense be used for the first time?

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

🛑⚔️ Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July?

[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of September 6th?

Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?

[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?

Will Israel declare victory against Hamas in 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Times of Israel

Prediction markets for The Times of Israel

Prediction markets for The Times of Israel

Which month will Israel's Iron Beam defense be used for the first time?

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

🛑⚔️ Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July?

[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of September 6th?