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The Specials News
Prediction markets for The Specials
Prediction markets for The Specials
Will Special Counsel Jack Smith seek mandamus regarding Judge Cannon's jury instructions in the Trump documents case?
Apr 4, 10:26 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
25.4%
chance
10
1174
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1068
896
Will a non specialized AI assistant master French grammar rule of "L'accord du participe passé" at the end of 2025 ?
Dec 10, 9:33 AM
Dec 31, 10:00 PM
55.34%
chance
27
1261
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1053
867
Will an AI specialized in Lego building be created before the end of 2024?
Dec 18, 6:37 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
41.83%
chance
12
223
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1025
979
Will the Biden Special Counsel investigation determine there is probable cause to believe Biden committed a crime?
Jan 17, 11:44 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7.99%
chance
23
703
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1380
927
Who will be the next special envoy for climate?
Jan 13, 8:02 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24
2045
Will California vote to lower the supermajority requirement to 55% for local special taxes to fund housing?
Jan 15, 11:04 PM
Dec 2, 6:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Will the USA get the most Athletics Golds at the 2027 Special Olympics in Perth?
Jun 19, 7:53 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
Which party will win the US Senate race in California in 2024 (special election)?
Feb 2, 3:18 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2
350
Will the manifold.markets community send the Carter family a special birthday card/gift for Jimmy Carter's 100 birthday?
Jun 23, 5:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Which party will win the US Senate race in Nebraska in 2024 (special election)?
Feb 2, 3:34 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3
345
Which organization will most likely build the AI that destroys humanity? (See special resolution method)
May 27, 4:45 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
3
35
Is Sam Altman building a 'big special something' in the desert?
Mar 26, 1:54 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
29.55%
chance
8
280
Option
Votes
YES
NO
298
201
Articles
Latest stories
The Specials' Neville Staple, 68, Halts Tours Due to Serious Heart Condition
Authors
7
6 months
Britain
World
British Rock Band Duran Duran Releases New Album 'Danse Macabre' Featuring Covers of Siouxsie & The Banshees, The Specials, Talking Heads, Billie Eilish, and Rolling Stones
Authors
5
8 months
Culture
Zack de la Rocha Makes Surprise Performances with Run the Jewels and Operation Ivy Members in LA
Authors
4
9 months
Culture
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