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Prediction markets for The News Agents
Prediction markets for The News Agents
Is Kim Dotcom a Russian agent?
Feb 2, 8:23 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
44.67%
chance
20
530
Option
Votes
YES
NO
998
995
Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?
Apr 8, 2:39 AM
Apr 8, 4:59 AM
7.89%
chance
18
280
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1232
967
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024
Sep 11, 4:23 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
34.38%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
93
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Global media opinion of Obama will improve from EOY 2023 to mid year 2027, according to OpenAI's best LLM
Dec 18, 9:57 PM
Jul 1, 5:59 AM
49.85%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
81.61%
chance
4
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
189
74
How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?
Feb 24, 9:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
17
1082
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
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4
4 months
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8
4 months
Britain
World
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