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Top stories
Speaker Mike Johnson Criticized for Appointing Greene, Perry, Jackson to Intel Committee at Trump's Request
Authors
4
13 days
Economics
Business
Prediction markets for The Jews
Prediction markets for The Jews
Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?
Feb 29, 1:14 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
61.04%
chance
19
1747
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1196
838
Will Israel end the military conscription exemption for Haredi (ultra-Orthodox Jews) before the next general election?
Mar 26, 1:39 PM
Nov 24, 11:59 PM
65.08%
chance
34
2600
Option
Votes
NO
YES
973
967
Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?
Nov 23, 10:01 PM
Dec 2, 6:59 AM
18.45%
chance
6
89
Option
Votes
YES
NO
224
119
Will either the Republican or Democratic party of a Jew on the presidential ticket in 2024?
Mar 16, 6:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4%
chance
8
677
Option
Votes
YES
NO
797
112
🌭What will happen in July 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
Jan 2, 5:01 AM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
61
9217
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
111
44025
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jun 30, 4:00 PM
256
309309
Will any explicitly leftist, pro-Palastine US organization or individual kill a Jewish person in the US before 2025?
Dec 6, 1:50 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
17.4%
chance
31
2632
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1814
668
✡️ Will there be a significant migration of Jewish voters from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party in 2024?
Mar 20, 6:07 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
24.64%
chance
21
534
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1037
955
Will Trump get a millennium high Jewish vote?
Apr 30, 3:34 PM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
80%
chance
16
636
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1234
903
Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?
Feb 26, 12:08 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19.35%
chance
16
495
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1164
930
What portion of US Jews will identify as Democrats in 2031?
Nov 13, 12:44 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
62.21%
chance
12
455
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1023
982
Articles
Latest stories
Speaker Mike Johnson Criticized for Appointing Greene, Perry, Jackson to Intel Committee at Trump's Request
Authors
4
13 days
Economics
Business
Brooklyn Monarch Cancels 'The Jews' Band Show Over 'Political' Concerns
Authors
7
3 months
Israel
World
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