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Prediction markets for the Internet

What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?

Mar 17, 4:49 PMJan 1, 6:01 AM

75.84%chance

611808

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7010

6011

Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?

Mar 19, 12:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80.21%chance

351077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2222

1710

Will there be internet service on the Moon at the end of 2040?

Mar 28, 4:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.33%chance

17273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

958

By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended?

Feb 17, 6:30 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

74.56%chance

15547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1135

932

Will the US pass a bill focused on stopping internet piracy by the end of 2025?

Feb 18, 7:37 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22.39%chance

14228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

972

Will a villain NPC of a major video game get access to the internet before 2030?

Mar 2, 3:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.79%chance

201666

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

941

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

80.11%chance

23535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

928

Will Rutracker be online in the Internet after 3 years?

Feb 18, 7:53 PMFeb 18, 10:59 PM

84.48%chance

341146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1472

863

10) U.S. court rule that generative AI models trained on the internet represent a violation of copyright. [Abbreviated]

Dec 25, 1:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.75%chance

431772

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

767

Will there be internet service on Mars at the end of 2060?

Mar 28, 4:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.21%chance

21958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

952

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Mar 18, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.23%chance

32999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

905

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Mar 25, 4:26 AMJan 1, 1:00 PM

19.58%chance

20674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

796

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