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Prediction markets for the Game

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78.7%chance

22329036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3130

1759

Given the recent allegations about Gala Games, will its GALA token end 2024 higher than the current price of $0.04289

May 31, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.41%chance

5561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2422

1503

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024

Feb 22, 8:27 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.27%chance

19740224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6786

484

By the end of 2025 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?

Dec 5, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.95%chance

12712585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3261

1027

By the end of 2024 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?

Dec 7, 9:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.91%chance

11218162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5050

1100

Will an AI be able to speedrun any popular video game faster than the human WR by the end of 2024?

Sep 24, 9:16 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

17.87%chance

22724830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3913

657

Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?

Jan 12, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

23842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

958

By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?

Dec 19, 8:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.12%chance

544704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1854

446

Will the open water swimming events be able to take place in the Seine river for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games?

Aug 6, 8:26 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

47.86%chance

302761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

462

Will any event of the Paris 2024 Olympic Games be postponed or cancelled due to the water quality of the Seine?

Aug 25, 7:59 PMAug 11, 9:59 PM

68.26%chance

332957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1605

446

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.74%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

956

Will there be an official Hundreds of Beavers video game released by the end of 2027?

Jun 2, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.97%chance

6219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

922

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