The Foundation News

Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?

Oct 18, 6:36 PMJan 11, 4:59 AM

97.22%chance

5518083

OptionVotes

YES

13872

728

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

YES

2141

900

Will OpenOffice.org be officially declared obsolete/unmaintained/archived by the Apache Foundation in 2024/2025?

Jan 30, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.34%chance

351084

OptionVotes

YES

1209

828

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.11%chance

271627

OptionVotes

YES

1112

876

Will solutions for "Deep Learning: Foundations and Concepts" be available on the book’s website by September 1, 2024?

May 25, 9:20 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

47.58%chance

2149

OptionVotes

YES

1050

953

Will Apple+'s Foundation series follow through to the end of Asimov's novel series?

Sep 7, 6:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.68%chance

13321

OptionVotes

YES

1038

974

How much money will the LEV Foundation spend in 2025?

Dec 10, 8:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.19%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

1073

1001

Will any foundation model score 75 or higher on The Foundation Model Transparency Index by the end of 2024? (LLama2: 54)

Dec 6, 7:35 PMDec 31, 8:00 AM

45.8%chance

12457

OptionVotes

YES

1067

930

Will the Gates Foundation give more than $100mn to AI Safety work before 2025?

Jun 4, 8:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.66%chance

15395

OptionVotes

YES

1123

929

Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

Dec 30, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.29%chance

11249

OptionVotes

YES

1112

954

Will Microsoft Copilot continue to rely primarily on OpenAI foundation models at the end of 2025?

Mar 19, 8:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.35%chance

20451

OptionVotes

YES

1107

867

Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?

Sep 18, 3:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.18%chance

242016

OptionVotes

YES

1317

901

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The Foundation News

Prediction markets for The Foundation

Prediction markets for The Foundation

Prediction markets for The Foundation

Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Will OpenOffice.org be officially declared obsolete/unmaintained/archived by the Apache Foundation in 2024/2025?

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Will solutions for "Deep Learning: Foundations and Concepts" be available on the book’s website by September 1, 2024?

Will Apple+'s Foundation series follow through to the end of Asimov's novel series?

How much money will the LEV Foundation spend in 2025?

Will any foundation model score 75 or higher on The Foundation Model Transparency Index by the end of 2024? (LLama2: 54)

Will the Gates Foundation give more than $100mn to AI Safety work before 2025?

Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

Will Microsoft Copilot continue to rely primarily on OpenAI foundation models at the end of 2025?

Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Foundation

Prediction markets for The Foundation

Prediction markets for The Foundation

Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Will OpenOffice.org be officially declared obsolete/unmaintained/archived by the Apache Foundation in 2024/2025?

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Will solutions for "Deep Learning: Foundations and Concepts" be available on the book’s website by September 1, 2024?

Will Apple+'s Foundation series follow through to the end of Asimov's novel series?

How much money will the LEV Foundation spend in 2025?