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The Financial Times News
Prediction markets for The Financial Times
Prediction markets for The Financial Times
Who will become 2024 Person of the Year by The Financial Times?
Jan 3, 2:21 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
66
4886
Is "Committing a financial crime that's 10 times as big, but donating the..." worse than committing a financial crime?
Jun 22, 12:15 AM
Jul 6, 4:59 AM
9
0
What is worse than committing a financial crime?
May 15, 5:46 AM
Jul 5, 6:00 PM
155
37475
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
Nov 30, 4:57 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
32.18%
chance
154
1201334
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2297
619
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
May 9, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
34.45%
chance
22
17148
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
956
Will the Manifold Creator Partner Program be seen as unsuccessful by EOY 2024?
Feb 28, 6:24 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.08%
chance
48
4004
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2086
1831
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
Dec 16, 6:36 AM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
14.52%
chance
159
12883
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3612
1657
During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
Feb 14, 1:38 AM
Feb 2, 7:59 AM
51
94596
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Sep 20, 7:29 PM
Jun 29, 3:59 AM
54.03%
chance
54
30737
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1350
1088
Will any event of the Paris 2024 Olympic Games be postponed or cancelled due to the water quality of the Seine?
Aug 25, 7:59 PM
Aug 11, 9:59 PM
68.26%
chance
33
2957
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1605
446
Will Extropic be found to be fraudulent by 2026?
May 18, 1:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
61.29%
chance
20
2251
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1258
795
Will language models solve cryptic crosswords by end of 2026?
Mar 22, 3:20 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
72.06%
chance
14
321
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1084
950
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