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The Dialogue News
Prediction markets for The Dialogue
Prediction markets for The Dialogue
Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024
Feb 22, 8:27 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
8.27%
chance
197
40224
Option
Votes
YES
NO
6786
484
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
Jan 12, 5:47 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45%
chance
23
842
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1034
958
Will language models, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2025
Jun 20, 2:53 PM
Dec 20, 3:00 AM
70.41%
chance
7
171
Option
Votes
NO
YES
360
219
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Apr 9, 1:22 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
25.71%
chance
2
25
Option
Votes
NO
YES
153
82
Will "New LessWrong feature: Dialogue Matching" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Feb 15, 5:22 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
1.82%
chance
4
371
Option
Votes
YES
NO
467
94
Will "Announcing Dialogues" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
May 15, 8:20 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
11.65%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
120
97
In the 2024 LessWrong survey, what percentage of respondents will know how to make a dialogue?
Feb 18, 1:39 AM
Mar 2, 7:59 AM
2
30
Will a 21st century scientific theory be explained in style of Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World Systems by 2026
Apr 22, 4:19 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
48%
chance
6
67
Option
Votes
NO
YES
200
199
Will "Holly Elmore and Rob Miles dialogue on AI Saf..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Mar 9, 9:38 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
83%
chance
3
117
Option
Votes
NO
YES
212
26
Will the Minecraft movie have dialogue lampshading punching a tree to get wood?
Apr 2, 2:25 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
74.63%
chance
6
84
Option
Votes
NO
YES
274
157
[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?
Feb 10, 2:12 PM
Dec 1, 10:59 AM
9
788
What types of Wrexham references will be made in Deadpool 3 (Deadpool & Wolverine)?
Feb 29, 3:26 PM
Jul 27, 3:59 AM
12
701
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