The Bureau News

Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?

Jan 5, 7:15 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.69%chance

7810580

OptionVotes

YES

2364

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

Jan 5, 7:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.64%chance

451287

OptionVotes

YES

996

984

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

If a random 50% of federal bureaucrats are instantly fired on January 21st 2025, will anything break as a result?

Nov 13, 1:12 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

62.92%chance

12323

OptionVotes

YES

1015

950

No AI prediction on manifold will ever be correct for the duration of this site, except purely bureaucratic changes

Apr 14, 11:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

177

104

If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?

Mar 9, 11:37 PMDec 10, 6:59 AM

66%chance

5514558

OptionVotes

YES

11227

3869

If Biden wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?

Mar 9, 11:38 PMDec 17, 6:59 AM

61.99%chance

5411842

OptionVotes

YES

8972

5085

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.48%chance

231385

OptionVotes

YES

3617

3394

Will AI replace over 50 million jobs by end of 2024?

Sep 15, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.4%chance

13036732

OptionVotes

YES

23012

2256

Will the US officially enter a recession in 2023? (Announcement by NBER)

Dec 2, 4:38 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4.26%chance

11353777

OptionVotes

YES

9254

446

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?

Jul 14, 1:24 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

23.9%chance

13280

OptionVotes

YES

1026

861

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

11.95%chance

7715723

OptionVotes

YES

3369

2004

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The Bureau News

Prediction markets for The Bureau

Prediction markets for The Bureau

Prediction markets for The Bureau

Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

If a random 50% of federal bureaucrats are instantly fired on January 21st 2025, will anything break as a result?

No AI prediction on manifold will ever be correct for the duration of this site, except purely bureaucratic changes

If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?

If Biden wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

Will AI replace over 50 million jobs by end of 2024?

Will the US officially enter a recession in 2023? (Announcement by NBER)

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Bureau

Prediction markets for The Bureau

Prediction markets for The Bureau

Will the bureau of labor report that there were more computer programmers in the US in 2030 than 2023?

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

If a random 50% of federal bureaucrats are instantly fired on January 21st 2025, will anything break as a result?

No AI prediction on manifold will ever be correct for the duration of this site, except purely bureaucratic changes

If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?

If Biden wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 3.5%)?