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Quora's Poe Chatbot Allows Download of Paywalled Articles from NYT, Forbes, Raising Copyright Concerns
Authors
6
6 days
Economics
AI
Policy
Prediction markets for The Atlantic
Prediction markets for The Atlantic
Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
Jul 29, 11:00 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
20%
chance
21
1284
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1025
975
Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?
Jul 31, 10:15 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
49%
chance
10
162
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1002
996
Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?
Jul 26, 10:03 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
25.46%
chance
30
1005
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1019
861
Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?
Jun 12, 4:48 PM
Dec 12, 11:59 PM
79.55%
chance
20
402
Option
Votes
YES
NO
993
964
How many hurricanes in the Atlantic in 2024?
Mar 15, 1:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18
4796
Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2025?
Jul 26, 10:02 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
8.06%
chance
20
3845
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1016
966
What will be the number of named storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
Feb 6, 3:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
25
15407
Will any of the first 5 named hurricanes of the Atlantic Hurricane Season make landfall?
Apr 5, 4:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
99%
chance
11
1939
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1801
18
Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 10:34 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.58%
chance
9
151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
300
170
Will there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?
Dec 9, 12:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
26.78%
chance
4
83
Option
Votes
YES
NO
166
79
Will the first hurricane of the 2024 season be in the Atlantic or Pacific
Mar 31, 9:55 PM
Nov 8, 4:59 AM
5
440
Which Atlantic hurricane will generate the most ACE in 2024?
Jul 3, 7:45 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3
190
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