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The Associated Press News
Top stories
DHS Secretary Mayorkas: FEMA Prepared, Warns of Budget Shortfalls Amid Intense Hurricane Season
Authors
9
8 days
Washington DC
Politics
Prediction markets for The Associated Press
Prediction markets for The Associated Press
Which additional media offices will Israel shut down, citing national security threats, by the end of 2024?
May 5, 10:09 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12
1011
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
13
706
Presidential Election Day Prop Bets [November 5th] (add your own, 2/user)
Mar 6, 11:44 PM
Nov 7, 10:59 PM
30
993
Which of the following will happen in the 2024 Presidential election? [ADD YOUR OWN ANSWERS (**see note**)]
Mar 10, 5:24 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
30
2475
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Aug 3, 6:17 PM
Dec 17, 4:29 PM
3611
9492713
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Jun 13, 10:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
2091
1773811
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.38%
chance
68
23983
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26232
3281
Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:49 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25.03%
chance
14
4070
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5697
3703
Who will be elected vice-president in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Aug 9, 2:15 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
180
124486
(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030
Oct 10, 10:53 AM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
41.16%
chance
21
2022
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1607
1204
Will Joe Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50% or Higher?
Dec 16, 4:26 AM
Jan 20, 5:00 PM
11.52%
chance
71
16063
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3356
788
[Metaculus] Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?
Nov 3, 5:21 PM
Dec 14, 12:00 AM
64.5%
chance
58
4364
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1026
966
Articles
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