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Prediction markets for Sun Times

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

261497

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.38%chance

6823983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26232

3281

Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?

Jun 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

27%chance

17733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

978

Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?

Feb 11, 3:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47%chance

8229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

118

Will the sun explode before 2025?

Aug 6, 3:02 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

0.94%chance

4234128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3898

887

Will the Sun engulf the Earth before 12 billion years from now.

Dec 8, 8:11 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

20.39%chance

304504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1276

883

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Apr 10, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.94%chance

19399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

935

Will there be any significant technological developments after 2100?

Nov 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

86.46%chance

342918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1566

835

Will ESA’s Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission to detect gravitational waves launch in 2035 as planned?

Jan 28, 10:16 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

38%chance

18447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

935

Will ANY 2020 blue states/districts flip red in 2024?

Sep 5, 6:35 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

84.47%chance

10310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

962

Will "induced wind" power plants exist by 2050?

Jul 11, 8:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.58%chance

121158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

932

Will the Sun be substantially disassembled before 2040?

Mar 17, 2:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.89%chance

20906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

947

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