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State Street Partners with Galaxy to Launch $2.4 Trillion Digital Asset-Based ETFs
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Economics
Business
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Prediction markets for State Street

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

35.93%chance

26652

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3748

3194

What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 28, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14635229

Will a generative Al media company be investigated for its misuse during in the 2024 US election circuit? (SoAIR'23)

Oct 16, 2:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.65%chance

21699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

926

Will AI be able to create art in a "human-like way" within Photoshop, GIMP, or Paint.NET by the end of 2024?

Sep 23, 4:34 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

21.55%chance

11458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

968

Will Elon Musk retain the position of CEO (or ‘Technoking’) of Tesla AND SpaceX until January 1, 2025?

Sep 20, 1:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.08%chance

252254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1597

811

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

12.37%chance

221099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1697

850

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

11.34%chance

629157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1560

819

Will Elon Musk be shown to have done drugs or alcohol in 2024?

Jan 8, 7:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.98%chance

241115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1571

704

If Wes Streeting is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election after 2019, will the Labour Party win?

May 9, 8:12 PMJan 24, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

TP9: A budget airline will have the lowest rate of lost bags. (80% conf.)

Jan 27, 7:02 PMDec 24, 2:42 PM

61%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

63

40

Will any country besides Brazil provide subsidized elective plastic surgery before 2033?

Oct 6, 12:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.46%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

148

Hamas Leaders Killed or Captured by Israel before end of 2024

Nov 15, 9:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

323737

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