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Kenya's President William Ruto to Address Nation at 9pm After Protests and Hold Press Briefing at State House, Nairobi Tomorrow
Authors
5
8 days
Africa
World
Politics
Prediction markets for State House
Prediction markets for State House
Will Jay Shooster be elected to the Florida state house of representatives in 2024?
Sep 8, 10:37 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
46.4%
chance
12
1165
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1623
975
Will either the House or the Senate vote on a constitutional amendment overturning Trump v. United States?
Jul 2, 9:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
12.22%
chance
14
2273
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2681
373
Will the House pass a bill shielding former presidents from being indicted by state or local prosecutors?
Mar 26, 12:06 PM
Jan 4, 4:59 AM
6.79%
chance
20
872
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1388
933
Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?
Oct 6, 5:35 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
35.26%
chance
9
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
262
190
Will the Republican Party control the specified State's House of Representatives after the 2024 election?
Jan 3, 4:40 PM
Dec 31, 4:59 AM
13
4860
Will Xi Jinping be a guest of honor at a White House State Dinner by the end of 2028?
Jan 9, 9:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
33.18%
chance
7
60
Option
Votes
YES
NO
182
129
Given the current state of politics, will the House of Rep flip from Republican to Democratic leadership Nov 5, 2024?
Oct 26, 3:53 AM
Nov 7, 7:59 AM
50.2%
chance
10
590
Option
Votes
YES
NO
208
94
Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures
Sep 6, 3:08 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
93%
chance
5
801
Option
Votes
NO
YES
659
404
Which party will control the Michigan State House of Representatives after the 2024 elections?
Dec 31, 1:22 AM
Dec 2, 7:59 AM
4
168
Will Simone Collins outrun Trump in her state house race?
Jun 14, 2:57 AM
Nov 11, 7:59 AM
71.51%
chance
2
60
Option
Votes
NO
YES
158
63
Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
Mar 28, 2:45 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
86.14%
chance
8
157
Option
Votes
NO
YES
283
157
Will at least 75% of households in the United States own a car in 2035?
Jan 16, 11:29 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
82.95%
chance
14
394
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1162
940
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