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STAR Market News
Prediction markets for STAR Market
Prediction markets for STAR Market
Star Wars: The Acolyte [Mega Market]
Mar 24, 2:18 AM
Jul 17, 6:59 AM
22
1878
When will we see a new market of home consumer robots like Star Wars droids emerge that do more then clean our floors?
Dec 27, 2:27 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4
170
Have you ever chosen to just not rate a market's resolution instead of awarding fewer than 5 stars?
Apr 16, 12:20 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37
0
Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day?
Mar 2, 6:51 PM
Nov 11, 7:59 AM
31.09%
chance
60
2174
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1803
1625
Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:36 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
59.98%
chance
15
2082
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1391
1127
[ACX 2024] Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
Jan 1, 1:32 PM
Jan 2, 2:00 PM
25%
chance
89
7611
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1539
915
Will a supernova be clearly visible from Earth before 2100 by a conscious, self-aware entity?
May 17, 3:43 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
62.81%
chance
4
211
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1300
769
Will a supply chain attack akin to the xz backdoor targeting developer toolchains be discovered before 2025?
Apr 4, 3:40 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
28.58%
chance
19
835
Option
Votes
NO
YES
998
942
What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?
Nov 2, 8:34 AM
Jun 15, 10:59 PM
73.7%
chance
27
992
Option
Votes
YES
NO
992
977
Will Yann LeCun be Yann LeCun again? (2020-2030)
Feb 6, 3:31 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30.67%
chance
12
166
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1060
961
Will the PRC flag fly on the moon before it flies on Taiwan?
Dec 11, 7:24 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
74.17%
chance
16
919
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1190
917
Will OpenAI Release a Chatbot Using the Q* Algorithm in 2024
Nov 23, 9:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
23.07%
chance
19
1029
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1234
911
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