Space Engineering News

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

May 13, 3:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

25.62%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

185

100

Will Starship IFT-5 relight and burn a Raptor engine while in space?

Jun 7, 4:35 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM

51270

Will the 5th Starship test launch by end of July?

Jun 19, 2:29 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

6%chance

3434132

OptionVotes

YES

3958

253

When will there be a 5th Starship launch?

Jun 7, 3:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6061923

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.24%chance

696475

OptionVotes

YES

1684

1350

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Sep 13, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

1040

971

In 2025, will I teach people that Projective Geometric Algebra (PGA)'s "dual" is similar to the Fourier transform?

Sep 20, 7:52 AMSep 21, 10:59 PM

48%chance

191284

OptionVotes

YES

1530

452

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.11%chance

271627

OptionVotes

YES

1112

876

Will Google Deepmind's autonomous agent be based on Gemini?

Sep 20, 9:27 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

75.17%chance

14287

OptionVotes

YES

1030

979

Will we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?

Jan 28, 8:24 PMJan 7, 10:59 PM

44.61%chance

281021

OptionVotes

YES

1000

998

Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2026?

Sep 18, 1:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

79.14%chance

22619

OptionVotes

YES

1327

884

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?

Apr 12, 9:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.26%chance

301950

OptionVotes

YES

1027

962

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Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

Will Starship IFT-5 relight and burn a Raptor engine while in space?

Will the 5th Starship test launch by end of July?

When will there be a 5th Starship launch?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

In 2025, will I teach people that Projective Geometric Algebra (PGA)'s "dual" is similar to the Fourier transform?

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Will Google Deepmind's autonomous agent be based on Gemini?

Will we get fusion reactors before a human walks on Mars?

Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2026?

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Space Engineering

Prediction markets for Space Engineering

Prediction markets for Space Engineering

Will a spacecraft powered by SABRE engines reach space before 2035?

Will Starship IFT-5 relight and burn a Raptor engine while in space?

Will the 5th Starship test launch by end of July?

When will there be a 5th Starship launch?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

In 2025, will I teach people that Projective Geometric Algebra (PGA)'s "dual" is similar to the Fourier transform?