Social Rights News

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

Jun 9, 10:27 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

48.78%chance

6821884

OptionVotes

YES

1028

792

[Kalshi] Will the Supreme Court rule that the government violated social media companies' First Amendment rights?

Jan 2, 4:22 PMJan 2, 3:00 PM

5.67%chance

111184

OptionVotes

YES

1459

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?

Mar 10, 3:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

14555668

OptionVotes

YES

11808

10428

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.46%chance

705493

OptionVotes

YES

6274

6067

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 3:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.38%chance

12310781

OptionVotes

YES

2075

1956

What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?

Apr 7, 7:59 PMNov 19, 4:59 AM

256170530

Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.34%chance

693469

OptionVotes

YES

1390

1092

Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?

Oct 19, 5:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.9%chance

7010419

OptionVotes

YES

4404

937

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

73.78%chance

6610486

OptionVotes

YES

1677

596

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Dec 18, 8:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.42%chance

906188

OptionVotes

YES

1537

852

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.42%chance

15544

OptionVotes

YES

1017

911

Will Sam Altman know who I am? (5 year time frame)

May 3, 4:40 AMJan 4, 12:59 PM

62.96%chance

321058

OptionVotes

YES

1155

540

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Social Rights News

Prediction markets for Social Rights

Prediction markets for Social Rights

Prediction markets for Social Rights

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

[Kalshi] Will the Supreme Court rule that the government violated social media companies' First Amendment rights?

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?

Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Will Sam Altman know who *I* am? (5 year time frame)

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Social Rights

Prediction markets for Social Rights

Prediction markets for Social Rights

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

[Kalshi] Will the Supreme Court rule that the government violated social media companies' First Amendment rights?

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?

Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Will Sam Altman know who I am? (5 year time frame)