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Prediction markets for Social House
Prediction markets for Social House
[M500 Subsidy] Will Biden's proposed $10,000 homebuyer credit become law before May 2025?
Mar 17, 12:06 PM
May 2, 5:59 AM
25%
chance
14
353
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1124
939
Will Elon Musk's next startup involve any technology mentioned in Eliezer Yudkowsky's major "dath ilan" posts that is more completely deployed on dath ilan than on Earth?
May 17, 1:00 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
26%
chance
17
479
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1036
905
Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.
Jul 13, 1:16 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
82.99%
chance
18
902
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1374
759
Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?
Jun 24, 8:44 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
85.27%
chance
14
826
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1180
932
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of NetChoice in NetChoice v Paxton this term?
Dec 1, 7:55 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
94.75%
chance
38
5974
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4484
344
Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?
Jun 28, 12:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.4%
chance
18
1019
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1388
947
How much will the Estate of Mind property sell for in 2024?
Feb 19, 2:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
177
Will New Zealand's Housing Market Experience a Downturn of At Least 30% From Its Peak by 2030?
Apr 7, 6:57 PM
Dec 25, 10:59 AM
52.32%
chance
6
78
Option
Votes
NO
YES
167
153
Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)
Oct 16, 1:57 AM
0
0
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Authors
4
2 months
Culture
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