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SKIL News
Prediction markets for SKIL
Prediction markets for SKIL
Will GPT-5 have Atari skills?
Mar 19, 8:37 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
26.47%
chance
27
1262
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1283
837
Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all *current* major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?
Oct 27, 5:11 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
8.61%
chance
11
715
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1249
958
Will "Skills I'd like my collaborators to have" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Feb 25, 12:28 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
31.22%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
109
43
Will Microsoft unveil Windows 12 before Old School Runescape releases the sailing skill?
Jan 25, 6:42 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.4%
chance
7
561
Option
Votes
YES
NO
233
37
Will "Apologizing is a Core Rationalist Skill" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Feb 19, 9:38 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
11.64%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
69
What skills will return in The Division 3 at launch?
Jun 2, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
75
Which skill listed in The Order of The Stick #1268 will end up saving the day?
Sep 22, 9:39 PM
Jun 2, 3:59 AM
7
80
Which peak human skills will smart robots have by 2026?
Mar 17, 12:05 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
22
802
Destiny's "Got Rhythm" Skills (Permanent)
Nov 15, 5:50 PM
Aug 11, 9:43 PM
13
818
Option
Votes
NO
YES
316
202
Will the US enact high-skilled immigration reform to help win the AI race against China?
Apr 7, 6:49 PM
Apr 7, 10:59 PM
55.76%
chance
10
87
Option
Votes
YES
NO
196
180
🐕 Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" by end of 2024?
Jan 10, 3:20 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
32.05%
chance
7
170
Option
Votes
YES
NO
188
124
Recommend me interesting job leads that fit my skillset and experience M5000 bounty, paying at least M500 per good lead
Dec 7, 7:40 PM
0
0
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