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Prediction markets for Signa

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.86%chance

3310874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18386

7579

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.86%chance

23018126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2709

1733

Will quantum computers, or any other type of computer, be able to crack bitcoin's ECDSA signatures before 2050?

Apr 21, 11:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.23%chance

12633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

978

Will this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)

Feb 3, 12:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

79.88%chance

21660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1274

864

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

12.37%chance

221099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1697

850

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

47.38%chance

14365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

903

Will the Russian civilians who provide signatures to get Boris Nadezhdin on the ballot suffer government reprisal?

Jan 27, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.92%chance

14883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1460

891

Hillary Clinton signals in any way she might run for president in 2024

Jan 1, 2:25 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.82%chance

633198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

903

Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?

Jun 4, 2:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.8%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

69

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 on their 50th anniversary?

Feb 26, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.84%chance

7137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

291

175

Will a significant extra-terrestrial signal be detected by SETI before the end of the 22th century?

Apr 21, 8:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43.06%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

103

Conditional on a second Wow! signal detection, what will be true?

Mar 3, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17610

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