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Prediction markets for See

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.51%chance

46787952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7155

5012

Will Larry, Chief Mouser to the Cabinet Office, live to see another Prime Minister?

Apr 30, 8:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.76%chance

379795

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14138

3220

We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030

Feb 18, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.4%chance

17318636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

1061

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

Mar 28, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.83%chance

10027192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3723

1183

Will 2024 see a major, viral, malicious AI-generated disinformation case, either in the US or globally?

Mar 15, 1:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.99%chance

10246446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1370

1202

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

36.47%chance

622949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1554

885

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40%chance

16171150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

720

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.84%chance

10922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

962

Will we see highly sophisticated AI-based aged account sockpuppet swarms before the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.39%chance

7229976

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3285

710

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

Dec 25, 1:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.96%chance

533275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

852

Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?

Jun 7, 5:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.97%chance

7435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1278

782

Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030?

May 16, 8:13 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

67%chance

11349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

907

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