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Schemes News
Prediction markets for Schemes
Prediction markets for Schemes
Ponzi-Scheme Stock
Aug 17, 11:09 PM
Aug 18, 3:59 AM
19
1631
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1040
961
Will OpenAI change their naming scheme (GPT-X) with the successor to GPT-4? (Ṁ200 subsidy!)
May 22, 6:25 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11.22%
chance
37
5549
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1817
817
Manifold Market Ponzi Scheme Stock
Aug 13, 6:14 AM
Aug 14, 3:59 AM
13
1250
Option
Votes
YES
NO
987
915
Will Latvia end its Residence by Investment scheme (golden visa) by the end of 2024?
Jan 1, 8:09 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
49.32%
chance
7
239
Option
Votes
YES
NO
163
127
Will @d make his money back on The Great Pyramid of Mana: Manifold's BIGGEST Ponzi scheme?
Aug 17, 10:01 PM
Jun 17, 3:59 AM
9.33%
chance
7
218
Option
Votes
YES
NO
392
89
Who will be part of the cast of the upcoming Wes Anderson film "The Phoenician Scheme"?
May 14, 4:56 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6
147
When will the proposed Oxford UK flood alleviation scheme begin construction?
Oct 15, 12:22 AM
Dec 16, 11:59 PM
3
100
Will I think that scheming benchmarks are more promising than game theory benchmarks (for defining trusted) in 1y?
Dec 13, 6:30 PM
Dec 14, 7:59 AM
54.16%
chance
4
64
Option
Votes
NO
YES
92
88
Which country will be proven to be nothing more than a Ponzi scheme?
Apr 20, 12:17 PM
Apr 21, 3:59 PM
4
16
Will Germany introduce a deposit scheme for wine bottles?
Apr 2, 9:36 AM
Sep 30, 9:59 PM
11%
chance
8
440
Option
Votes
YES
NO
391
111
How many distinct schemes are there for predicting a number on Manifold?
Oct 27, 7:00 PM
Oct 28, 6:59 AM
7
695
Will any encryption scheme suggested by the NSA's Commercial National Security Algorithm Suite be broken by April 2028?
Mar 14, 11:03 PM
Apr 1, 7:00 AM
25%
chance
8
147
Option
Votes
YES
NO
253
123
Articles
Latest stories
Ukraine Seeks Return of 65 POWs' Bodies, Russia Ignores Requests After IL-76 Crash
Authors
12
5 months
Ukraine
World
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