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Running Charity News
Prediction markets for Running Charity
Prediction markets for Running Charity
When the current $500k grant for Manifold For Charity runs out, will the charity program continue?
Apr 21, 8:56 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
86.28%
chance
19
1217
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1725
813
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.42%
chance
16
2892
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7416
3786
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%
chance
74
5724
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2141
900
Will there be a bank run on Manifold before 2028?
Nov 17, 7:27 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
44.6%
chance
28
1911
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
741
By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?
Jun 16, 8:47 PM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
11.4%
chance
18
1414
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1241
941
If investigated, will it be found that mana being able to direct charitable donations increases manifolds accuracy?
Jul 18, 9:06 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
40.58%
chance
5
37
Option
Votes
YES
NO
136
124
Will GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:08 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.52%
chance
8
143
Option
Votes
YES
NO
217
171
mana for cool usernames
Sep 25, 7:32 AM
0
0
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Russell Cook Completes 352-Day Africa Run, Raises £1M for Charity
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2 months
Britain
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