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Prediction markets for Returning Officers
What will be true about the Oscar Best Picture winner at the 97th Academy Awards? (Films from 2024) [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 11, 5:07 AM
Mar 21, 3:59 AM
5
211
[Metaculus] Will Rishi Sunak fail to be elected in the 2024 UK General Election? [Mod note: as a MP]
Jun 5, 5:32 PM
Jul 6, 11:00 AM
21.72%
chance
13
2048
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1898
527
[Metaculus] Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election?
Jun 24, 4:19 AM
Jul 6, 11:00 AM
81.22%
chance
5
1103
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2079
481
Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections?
Jan 7, 2:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
21
1897
How many seats will Manifold correctly call in the UK 2024 General Election?
Feb 1, 11:20 AM
Jul 4, 10:59 PM
7
325
How many seats will Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales win at the general election?
Mar 23, 6:29 AM
Jul 4, 9:00 PM
2
384
Will Pieter Omtzigt exit Dutch national politics before February 2025?
Feb 8, 10:08 PM
Feb 1, 10:59 PM
13.17%
chance
6
234
Option
Votes
YES
NO
338
90
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Security Tightened Nationwide Ahead of Lok Sabha Vote Counting on June 4 at 8 AM
Authors
6
24 days
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