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Top stories

Tory 'Supermajority' Warnings Backfire as 26% of Voters Lean Towards Labour
Authors
9
14 hours
Britain
World
Politics
Royal Mail Investigates Postman for Defacing Reform UK Leaflets in St Helens North
Authors
4
5 days
Britain
Crime
World
Nigel Farage Blames Vetting Firm, Threatens Legal Action Over Reform UK Candidate Controversy
Authors
12
12 days
Britain
World

Prediction markets for Reform

Will the Reform Party win a nonzero number of seats in the 2024 election?

May 27, 1:33 AMJul 5, 10:59 PM

87.06%chance

326241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3362

477

UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK win at least 2 seats?

Jun 6, 10:52 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

79%chance

9512709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1940

516

Will the Reform UK party win any seats in the next UK general election?

Jan 3, 12:41 PMMar 3, 12:12 PM

91.32%chance

475533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2372

81

Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?

Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

27.92%chance

12608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

983

Will we see a widely adopted reform to the 40 hour work week in the US before 2030?

Apr 20, 11:13 PMJan 20, 11:00 PM

34%chance

10130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

989

Will Saudi Arabia roll back any of MBS’s secularizing reforms by end of 2024?

May 28, 3:03 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

32.61%chance

8450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

696

UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 6,000,000 votes?

Jun 15, 8:01 AMJul 8, 10:59 PM

67.53%chance

424348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1442

693

UK General Election 2024 - Reform UK to win 7 or more seats

Jun 18, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.32%chance

294875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1481

675

Will there be Section 230 reform before 2025?

May 19, 12:53 AMJan 4, 4:59 AM

44%chance

18448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

916

When all the votes are counted in the UK's general election, will Reform UK poll more votes than the Conservative Party?

Jun 17, 6:03 PMJul 3, 10:59 PM

18%chance

344542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2134

469

UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 4,000,000 votes?

Jun 3, 3:31 PMJul 8, 10:59 PM

84%chance

428512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2291

436

Will the National Environmental Protection Act be substantially reformed by the end of 2025.

Feb 29, 6:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39%chance

10149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

966

Articles

Latest stories

Reform UK Withdraws Support from Three Candidates; Erewash Candidate Defects to Tories
Authors
8
4 hours
Britain
Crime
World
Tory 'Supermajority' Warnings Backfire as 26% of Voters Lean Towards Labour
Authors
9
14 hours
Britain
World
Politics
Royal Mail Investigates Postman for Defacing Reform UK Leaflets in St Helens North
Authors
4
5 days
Britain
Crime
World
Rishi Sunak Faces Crumbling Majority in Richmond and Northallerton Amid Betting Scandal
Authors
5
7 days
Britain
World
Labour Leads in UK General Election Polls, Conservatives Trail with Reform UK Gains; Ipsos Predicts Labour 453, Cons 115, Lib Dems 38, Reform 3
Authors
28
12 days
Britain
World
Nigel Farage Blames Vetting Firm, Threatens Legal Action Over Reform UK Candidate Controversy
Authors
12
12 days
Britain
World
Penny Mordaunt and Nigel Farage Clash in ITV Debate Over Labour, Tax Policies, and YouGov Poll
Authors
11
17 days
Britain
World
Nigel Farage Willing to Lead Merged Conservative and Reform Party, Polling Shows Support
Authors
5
17 days
Britain
World
Sunak and Starmer to Face Off in Grimsby at 7pm in Sky News' 'Battle for Number 10'
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21
18 days
Britain
World
Reform Candidate Withdraws, Joins Tories, Endorses Gavin Williamson
Authors
5
22 days
Britain
World
Former Reform Candidate Anthony Mack to Run Against Nigel Farage in Clacton as Independent
Authors
5
23 days
Britain
World
Labour Shifts Strategy on Polling Day, Targeting 'Squeeze' Voters; Voter Archetypes Key to Election Outcome Among Specific Demographics
Authors
12
29 days
Britain
World
Labour Set for Landslide Victory with 493 Seats as Conservatives Face Historic Defeat with 66 Seats
Authors
29
30 days
Britain
World
Labour Leads Conservatives by 27 Points in Exclusive YouGov Poll; Reform at 12%, Lib Dems at 9%, Greens at 7%
Authors
11
1 month
Britain
World
Reform UK Prepares for 'Immigration Election,' Tice Challenges Tory MP with Farage's Support, Election on July 4th
Authors
7
1 month
Britain
World
Reform UK Leader Richard Tice, Assisted by Nigel Farage, to Contest Boston and Skegness Seat with Voting Intention Data
Authors
10
1 month
Britain
World
Rees-Mogg Calls for Conservative-Reform Pact, Farage Could Boost Reform to 16%
Authors
13
2 months
Britain
World
Poll: Tories Face Extinction if Farage Returns with Reform Party, Adds 8 Points to Vote
Authors
5
2 months
Britain
World
Labour Secures Sunderland with Four Seats; Reform Outperforms Tories
Authors
7
2 months
Britain
World
PM Sunak Approval at All-Time Low, Tories at 19%, Labour 44%: Ipsos Poll
Authors
5
2 months
Britain
World
Lee Anderson and Reform UK Form Non-Aggression Pact in 4 Tory Constituencies
Authors
7
3 months
Britain
World
Sunak Warns Reform UK Vote Aids Labour; Tory MP Backs Reform in Ashfield Challenge
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14
3 months
Britain
World
Reform UK Gains Ground, Nears Tories in Polls; Labour Leads, Local Elections Crucial for General Election
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18
3 months
Britain
World
Reform Party Close to Tories in Polls, Aims High in UK Elections
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16
3 months
Britain
World
Labour Leads, Poll Shows Reform Gaining Support; Farage Predicts Surpassing Tories in Votes
Authors
10
3 months
Britain
World
Reform UK Leader Richard Tice Criticizes Establishment, Pledges £17bn for Healthcare Ahead of Elections
Authors
7
3 months
Britain
World
Bolton Warns of Potential US NATO Withdrawal, UK Election Intervention with Russia and Ukraine Involvement
Authors
4
3 months
Britain
World
Labour Predicted Over 400 Seats, Tories to Drop to 155 in Election
Authors
22
3 months
Britain
World
Tory Voters Could Return: Reform Party Vows Net Zero Referendum, Challenges Sunak on Immigration
Authors
7
3 months
Economics
Business
Conservatives Consider Incentives to Prevent Farage from Reform Candidacy, Labour Warns of Threat to International Unity Against Russian Aggression
Authors
11
3 months
Britain
World
Nigel Farage's Reform Party Surges to 16%, Overtakes Tories in Polls Among Certain Demographics, Poses Electoral Loss Threat
Authors
36
3 months
Britain
World
Nigel Farage Eyes Political Comeback as Reform Party Surges to 16%, Posing Challenge to Tories Among Working-Class Voters
Authors
37
3 months
Britain
World
Reform UK's Surge Threatens UK Conservatives, Labour Urges Rishi Sunak to Rule Out Nigel Farage Deal
Authors
24
3 months
Britain
World
Tory MP Kruger Acknowledges Validity of Reform Criticisms in Leaked Recordings, Expresses Concern Over Party's Support
Authors
6
3 months
Britain
World
Scott Benton Resigns After 35-Day Suspension, Labour Eyes Gain, Reform Faces Test in By-election
Authors
9
3 months
Britain
World
YouGov Poll: Reform UK, Led by Nigel Farage, Surpasses Tories Among Men, Poses Electoral Threat in Blackpool South By-Election
Authors
17
3 months
Britain
World
Reform UK Surges to 19%, Overtaking Conservatives at 15% Among Men
Authors
17
3 months
Britain
World
Reform UK Surges to 15%, Just 4 Points Behind Conservatives in Latest Polls; BBC's 'Far Right' Label, Reeves' Plan, Labour Lead
Authors
58
3 months
Britain
World
Reform UK's Lee Anderson Campaigns in Ashfield, Farage Rumored for Envoy Role
Authors
17
4 months
Britain
World
Conservative MP Lee Anderson's Defection to Reform Party Sparks Criticism from Nadia Whittome, Tom Randall, Helen Morgan in Ashfield, Nottinghamshire
Authors
8
4 months
Britain
World
UK Conservative Party Faces Decline as Reform Gains Strength, Potential Overtaking by Summer
Authors
8
4 months
Britain
World
Ex-Tory Deputy Chair Anderson Defects to Reform, Becomes 'Champion of the Red Wall'
Authors
67
4 months
Britain
World
Tory MPs Propose ECHR Referendum on 'Super Thursday', Boris Johnson to Lead
Authors
5
4 months
Britain
World
Labour Sets Record with 13M in Donations in 2023, Electoral Commission Data Shows
Authors
9
4 months
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World
UK Political Parties See Donation Fluctuations: Labour Hits Record £13m, Tories £9.7m, SNP £70,000
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6
4 months
Britain
World
UK's Rwanda Bill Faces Defeats in Lords, Critics Warn of Smugglers' Benefit, Home Secretary Reacts
Authors
5
4 months
Britain
World
Labour Leads by 15 Points 6 Days Before Dunkley By-Election, Barnaby Joyce Absent
Authors
13
4 months
Australia
World
Rochdale By-Election: Danczuk vs. Galloway Amid Anti-Democratic Claims
Authors
13
4 months
Britain
World
Labour's Lead Drops 7 Points to Lowest Since June 2023 in Savanta Poll
Authors
6
5 months
Britain
World
Ex-Labour MP Seeks Reform Seat in Rochdale, Labour Boycotted for Palestine Stance
Authors
4
5 months
Israel
Britain
World
Labour Leads by 17-25 Points Over Conservatives; Reform Closes Gap
Authors
6
5 months
Britain
World
Conservative Holds Dunblane & Bridge of Allan Council Seat, Labour Leads in Westminster Polls, SNP at 23.3%, Labour at 45%
Authors
7
5 months
Britain
World
Labour Leads at 27% in Latest YouGov Poll, Reform UK Surges to 13%, Just 7 Points Behind Conservatives, Fieldwork on 23 - 24 January
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19
5 months
Britain
World
Tory MPs in Secret Talks to Defect to Reform UK, Reform Party Leader Richard Tice Claims
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7
5 months
Britain
World
Sunak's Approval Tanks, Nearly 30 Points Behind Starmer; NHS Encounter Misrepresented
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26
5 months
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Reform UK Hits 12% in Poll; Deputy Leader Open to Labour Government for 'Obliterating' Tories
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5
5 months
Britain
World
Reform UK's Tice: Tories 'Terrified', 'Not Laughing Now', Accuses of Breaking Britain
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5
6 months
Britain
World
Poll Shows Clear Majority of Britons Believe Brexit Has Failed, Labour Leads with 45%
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9
6 months
Britain
World
Labour Leads at 45%, Conservatives at 23%, Reform Party and Liberal Democrats at 10%
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6
6 months
Britain
World
Wellingborough by-election on [date], testing Labour's support; Peter Bone recalled
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5
6 months
Britain
World
Labour Leads by 18% in UK Final Poll; Poilievre Tops Best PM Polling in Canada; Conservatives Gain 6% Support; Nanos Poll Date Unspecified; Labour Gains in Wellingborough
Authors
6
6 months
Politics

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