Redacted News

Redacted Raises $10M Led by Spartan Group with Animoca and P2 Ventures (Polygon)
Authors
8
5 days
VC
Startups
Business

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.28%chance

474284

OptionVotes

YES

1282

684

Will GPT-5 resolve this market?

Dec 23, 6:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.93%chance

597925

OptionVotes

YES

1011

800

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Jul 4, 3:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

69.64%chance

301666

OptionVotes

YES

1435

667

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Jul 14, 8:55 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

35.23%chance

231296

OptionVotes

YES

1116

911

Will GPT-4.5 resolve this market?

Dec 23, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.13%chance

473757

OptionVotes

YES

1436

708

Will the full report of the investigation of Sam Altman be released to the public in 2024?

Mar 11, 2:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.29%chance

431771

OptionVotes

YES

1369

903

Will Google's Bard allow search in personal mail/docs before 2025?

Feb 12, 2:46 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

94.17%chance

182001

OptionVotes

YES

1948

791

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be a Vice President for a candidate on the presidential ballot?

Apr 5, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.26%chance

4391

OptionVotes

YES

612

149

Will the financial incentives of the pivot increase the percentage of inaccurately resolved questions?

Apr 23, 1:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.87%chance

316

OptionVotes

YES

165

155

In whose hands was the future, according to Elon Musk?

Mar 7, 12:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

373755

Will there be a celebrity death hoax in 2024?

Mar 24, 9:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.16%chance

7399

OptionVotes

YES

286

147

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Jan 24, 6:24 AM

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Redacted News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Redacted

Prediction markets for Redacted

Prediction markets for Redacted

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Will GPT-5 resolve this market?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Will GPT-4.5 resolve this market?

Will the full report of the investigation of Sam Altman be released to the public in 2024?

Will Google's Bard allow search in personal mail/docs before 2025?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be a Vice President for a candidate on the presidential ballot?

Will the financial incentives of the pivot increase the percentage of inaccurately resolved questions?

In whose hands was the future, according to Elon Musk?

Will there be a celebrity death hoax in 2024?

Chance an NLP nerd with shit grades and ouchie-demograaphics for top unis

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Redacted

Prediction markets for Redacted

Prediction markets for Redacted

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Will GPT-5 resolve this market?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2030

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Will GPT-4.5 resolve this market?