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Recorded Future News
Prediction markets for Recorded Future
Prediction markets for Recorded Future
Will a right to digital privacy be established in the USA saying your AI cannot be used against you in a court of law?
May 6, 11:40 PM
Dec 25, 4:59 AM
13.39%
chance
22
578
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1153
1054
Lionel Messi will score a hat-trick in a match for Inter Miami by 2025
Aug 15, 5:10 AM
Jul 1, 4:00 AM
85.41%
chance
10
334
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1101
962
Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030
Feb 8, 2:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
89.95%
chance
26
2478
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1803
797
Will AGI Exist Before Tuesday, October 15, 2024
Oct 15, 8:42 PM
Oct 16, 6:59 AM
5.19%
chance
61
5882
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3081
762
Tyler Cowen's claims about reading and travel continue to be accepted through mid 2028
Dec 18, 4:41 PM
Jul 1, 5:59 AM
97.57%
chance
20
950
Option
Votes
NO
YES
909
49
What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
May 23, 7:10 AM
Dec 30, 7:59 AM
45
11002
When will there be an AGI for most tasks I care about?
Feb 12, 5:29 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
21
691
Will behavioral prediction markets be used in a dating app before 2025?
Nov 6, 3:03 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
58.04%
chance
3
30
Option
Votes
NO
YES
102
80
Will the Cocoa commodity have a better return in dollars than bitcoin at 31/12/2024?
Mar 26, 3:10 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
28.57%
chance
9
220
Option
Votes
YES
NO
381
181
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
Oct 4, 1:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.24%
chance
7
584
Option
Votes
YES
NO
517
92
Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Feb 12, 12:55 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
28
3097
What 2+ word phrase will Donald Trump use at least once until Jan 21, 2025? [your answers]
Mar 2, 10:21 PM
Jan 22, 9:59 PM
50
7262
Articles
Latest stories
Chinese and North Korean Hackers, Including ChamelGang, Linked to Global Ransomware Attacks on AIIMS
Authors
9
6 days
China
North Korea
Infosec
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