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Prediction markets for Radical
Prediction markets for Radical
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
May 17, 11:14 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
42.48%
chance
23
1385
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3617
3394
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
Jun 9, 10:27 AM
Oct 31, 10:59 PM
45.95%
chance
67
21834
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1081
743
Quantum computation will not radically change computation by 2100 except in encryption.
Mar 25, 3:43 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
20.73%
chance
32
1323
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1302
882
Will the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2026?
Feb 20, 4:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
50.11%
chance
16
740
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1013
973
Will the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2025?
Feb 20, 4:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
15.5%
chance
13
311
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1217
934
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the Greens in Germany's next federal election?
Jun 9, 10:26 AM
Oct 31, 10:59 PM
88.85%
chance
50
5380
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2458
538
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the centre-right CDU in Germany's next federal election?
Jun 9, 10:30 AM
Oct 31, 10:59 PM
1.94%
chance
9
1013
Option
Votes
YES
NO
937
173
Will a dating app implement radical transparency before 2026?
Nov 7, 5:47 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
43.96%
chance
5
58
Option
Votes
YES
NO
118
103
What is the best way to organize a radical retirement polycule collective to ensure mutual support through the troubles?
Oct 9, 2:46 PM
0
0
What adjectives will Donald Trump use to describe Joe Biden ahead of the next presidential inauguration?
Feb 2, 10:04 PM
Jan 20, 10:59 PM
127
19038
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60
3197
Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?
Jul 1, 9:50 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56.28%
chance
49
15564
Option
Votes
NO
YES
11303
8855
Articles
Latest stories
Radical Raises $4.5M for High-Altitude Solar-Powered Drones
Authors
5
2 months
Tech
PocketHealth Secures $45M from New Investors for AI Medical Image Expansion
Authors
5
3 months
Economics
Business
Radical Muslims Chant Anti-Semitic Slogans at Sydney Rally; FBI Warns of Potential Attacks
Authors
17
9 months
Politics
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