Q4 News

Will the unemployment rate in Argentina be lower in Q4 2024 than Q4 2023?

Nov 22, 11:43 PMMar 2, 6:59 AM

32.06%chance

935458

OptionVotes

YES

1654

915

Will a UK General Election be held during Q4 2024?

Apr 5, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.3%chance

8422129

OptionVotes

YES

5829

103

🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,699.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?

Mar 18, 12:25 PMDec 31, 5:00 PM

20%chance

17973

OptionVotes

YES

1296

885

Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)

Jan 3, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.06%chance

141104

OptionVotes

YES

1089

955

Will Sony release a PS5 Pro by the end of Q4 2024?

Oct 14, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79%chance

331822

OptionVotes

YES

1441

814

Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in Q4 2025?

Oct 11, 6:30 PMSep 30, 10:59 PM

40.97%chance

362720

OptionVotes

YES

1153

841

Will Russia experience negative GDP growth in Q4 of 2024 according to either Rosstat or IMF?

Apr 6, 12:50 PMFeb 28, 12:59 PM

19.2%chance

11359

OptionVotes

YES

1240

896

🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,499.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?

Mar 18, 12:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 PM

16.46%chance

121207

OptionVotes

YES

1351

885

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

Mar 22, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.64%chance

14467

OptionVotes

YES

1161

944

🗳️💭What will Manifold's Approval Rating be at end of Q4 2024? [Poll Index]

Jan 11, 8:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47.38%chance

15508

OptionVotes

YES

1052

920

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q4 2024?

Dec 20, 7:06 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

33.12%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

126

🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,799.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?

Mar 18, 12:25 PMDec 31, 5:00 PM

31.63%chance

5168

OptionVotes

YES

264

123

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Q4 News

Prediction markets for Q4

Prediction markets for Q4

Prediction markets for Q4

Will the unemployment rate in Argentina be lower in Q4 2024 than Q4 2023?

Will a UK General Election be held during Q4 2024?

🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,699.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?

Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)

Will Sony release a PS5 Pro by the end of Q4 2024?

Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in Q4 2025?

Will Russia experience negative GDP growth in Q4 of 2024 according to either Rosstat or IMF?

🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,499.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?

Will AWS remain the market share leader in cloud infrastructure services by Q4 2025?

🗳️💭What will Manifold's Approval Rating be at end of Q4 2024? [Poll Index]

Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q4 2024?

🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,799.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Q4

Prediction markets for Q4

Prediction markets for Q4

Will the unemployment rate in Argentina be lower in Q4 2024 than Q4 2023?

Will a UK General Election be held during Q4 2024?

🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,699.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?

Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)

Will Sony release a PS5 Pro by the end of Q4 2024?

Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in Q4 2025?

Will Russia experience negative GDP growth in Q4 of 2024 according to either Rosstat or IMF?