Public Security News

SEC wins its case against Coinbase

Jun 6, 10:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

8415348

OptionVotes

YES

1711

1556

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.23%chance

3622972

OptionVotes

YES

1157

865

Will Pakistan restructure or default on its international debt obligations in 2024?

Dec 1, 10:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.8%chance

253204

OptionVotes

YES

2203

838

Which computational universe do we live in?

Sep 17, 5:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

253259

Will people start putting A.I. chips into there bodies?

Jan 15, 3:33 AMDec 23, 11:59 PM

34.95%chance

21873

OptionVotes

YES

1041

866

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

41.01%chance

9900

OptionVotes

YES

1199

834

Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?

Nov 28, 5:09 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

15%chance

837570

OptionVotes

YES

1602

947

Will the "Nintendo Switch 2" be hacked within 12 months of its release date?

Feb 3, 2:45 PMFeb 3, 11:59 PM

54.42%chance

22823

OptionVotes

YES

1106

884

Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?

May 4, 5:03 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

21.44%chance

19920

OptionVotes

YES

1317

881

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.76%chance

505168

OptionVotes

YES

1437

849

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Oct 17, 12:20 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.69%chance

1009415

OptionVotes

YES

1426

835

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Aug 9, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.43%chance

30772

OptionVotes

YES

1099

909

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Public Security News

Prediction markets for Public Security

Prediction markets for Public Security

Prediction markets for Public Security

SEC wins its case against Coinbase

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Will Pakistan restructure or default on its international debt obligations in 2024?

Which computational universe do we live in?

Will people start putting A.I. chips into there bodies?

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?

Will the "Nintendo Switch 2" be hacked within 12 months of its release date?

Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Public Security

Prediction markets for Public Security

Prediction markets for Public Security

SEC wins its case against Coinbase

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Will Pakistan restructure or default on its international debt obligations in 2024?

Which computational universe do we live in?

Will people start putting A.I. chips into there bodies?

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?