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Proof of Play News
Prediction markets for Proof of Play
Prediction markets for Proof of Play
Biden wins which states? Plus 36 other weird election markets. Tons of mana, 12k liquidity
Nov 23, 7:42 AM
Nov 9, 7:59 AM
107
36192
I want to play around with proof assistants, currently thinking Lean. Should I start with something else?
Jul 10, 11:39 PM
Jul 11, 6:59 AM
0
0
Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?
Feb 6, 7:12 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.67%
chance
22
510
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1139
940
Will I have developed a decent incremental game before the end of 2025?
Sep 27, 4:54 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
37%
chance
10
112
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1041
970
Will Google's AI chatbot (Bard) contain ads/sponsored links before 2025?
May 12, 11:47 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
81.2%
chance
14
313
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1015
982
When will a language model be fine-tuned via self-play or expert iteration and achieve significant performance increase?
Dec 17, 4:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:47 PM
12.92%
chance
14
272
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
976
Will a League of Legends support record a pentakill during 2024 in professional play?
Nov 9, 5:09 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6.62%
chance
14
1209
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1526
901
How many FLOP of compute will have been executed by the time chess is solved?
Jan 29, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
2
60
Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?
Mar 27, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68.46%
chance
6
85
Option
Votes
NO
YES
275
184
What games will we attempt to play using prediction markets in 2024? [Prizes for good answers!]
Jan 11, 10:52 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
44
2646
Least point odds for white in a solved odds chess game by 2040
Feb 10, 11:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
40%
chance
6
202
Option
Votes
YES
NO
442
263
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