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Prediction markets for Pre Market

When will quiver.trade publicly release its first pre-market futures?

Jun 19, 2:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4242

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Jul 25, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.85%chance

654152512845

OptionVotes

YES

NO

90550

14739

Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?

Jan 10, 3:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.39%chance

28317587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2534

1979

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Jun 11, 4:45 PMJun 18, 8:59 PM

222862

Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?

Mar 17, 1:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22%chance

9209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

291

124

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Jul 15, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.27%chance

575534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1533

655

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.92%chance

798060

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1634

916

Will international tourism revenue exceed $1.5 trillion in 2024?

Dec 2, 1:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.25%chance

403110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2954

955

Will the ICC Pre-Trial Chamber grant both of the arrest warrants proposed against Netanyahu and Gallant?

May 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.46%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

970

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

943

Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?

May 27, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.72%chance

9554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

795

When will self-improving AI outperform human-developed AI?

Mar 2, 10:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

55.29%chance

17497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

866

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