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Pose News
PSTX
POSEIDA THERAPEUTICS INC
2.94
-2.65%
PSTX
POSEIDA THERAPEUTICS INC
2.94
-2.65%
Prediction markets for Pose
Prediction markets for Pose
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
Jan 6, 4:19 AM
Jan 2, 9:59 AM
35.42%
chance
41
1443
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1077
787
Will space debris pose a serious risk to our human future in space?
Nov 14, 8:25 PM
Nov 22, 7:59 AM
37.66%
chance
21
923
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1070
918
Will API pose an existential threat to humanity before 2050?
Oct 2, 3:59 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7%
chance
6
430
Option
Votes
YES
NO
320
86
Which conflict poses a greater threat to US national security: Ukraine or Israel?
Nov 1, 5:05 PM
78
0
Does Hamas pose a national security threat to the US?
Nov 15, 2:15 PM
35
0
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
What is the one piece?
Feb 26, 5:11 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
21
1935
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria)
Jan 24, 2:55 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
20%
chance
2779
1465176
Option
Votes
YES
NO
12064
4824
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Nov 14, 3:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
81.2%
chance
150
86287
Option
Votes
NO
YES
7353
1128
Military applications of neutrinos by 2050?
Feb 24, 6:26 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
10.7%
chance
31
44939
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1049
957
In 2024, will India or an international organization officially report an outbreak of wheat blast in India?
Dec 2, 1:38 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.57%
chance
24
4138
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2446
946
Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:36 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
48.74%
chance
16
2332
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1632
839
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7
3 months
Politics
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4
4 months
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