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U.S. Intel via Politico Warns of Imminent War Between Israel and Hezbollah if No Cease-Fire
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Prediction markets for Politico

National parliament voting intention of the Conservatives in the UK as of 27 September 2024, according to Politico?

Dec 1, 6:49 AMSep 27, 9:59 PM

11609

Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?

Dec 29, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20821437

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

18.48%chance

23779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21374

20854

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

Jun 11, 12:15 AMAug 13, 4:59 AM

10.28%chance

5725913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29479

3521

Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?

Aug 27, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.82%chance

25663

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

691

Will China suffer a financial crash in 2024?

Jan 9, 8:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.43%chance

15552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

941

Will the January 6th Case against Trump have a mistrial/hung jury before election day?

Jan 25, 3:40 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

31.75%chance

16320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

964

Will there be a death at a Trump Rally in 2024?

Jan 13, 12:52 AMJan 23, 7:59 AM

29.9%chance

20921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

968

Will Mother Nature influence the US Elections in 2024

Jan 11, 11:38 PMNov 12, 7:59 AM

24.9%chance

12286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1085

958

Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?

May 20, 6:21 PMMay 22, 3:59 AM

22.08%chance

3900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1879

532

Will Jeff Jackson be elected the next Attorney General of North Carolina?

Oct 27, 12:18 AMNov 5, 10:59 PM

61.88%chance

12439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

975

Will effective altruism splinter in 2024?

Dec 31, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.68%chance

231530

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1224

899

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