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Politburo News
Top stories
China Reveals Government Fund Misuse, Highlighting Fiscal Risks - Bloomberg
Authors
5
6 days
China
Economics
World
Prediction markets for Politburo
Prediction markets for Politburo
Will a Politburo Standing Committee or State Council member get purged in 2024?
Jan 11, 4:27 PM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
15%
chance
11
1725
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1131
945
Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?
Mar 27, 3:20 AM
Jan 27, 3:59 PM
47.35%
chance
5
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
116
102
Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash
Aug 23, 5:48 PM
Aug 13, 6:59 AM
32.92%
chance
3
29
Option
Votes
YES
NO
117
72
When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Mar 27, 3:16 AM
Jan 27, 3:59 PM
2
119
Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo flees China through 2027
Sep 19, 3:44 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
40%
chance
3
45
Option
Votes
YES
NO
133
91
Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash
Aug 23, 5:48 PM
Aug 13, 6:59 AM
32.06%
chance
3
31
Option
Votes
YES
NO
119
71
When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Mar 27, 3:12 AM
Jan 27, 3:59 PM
2
10
Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
Nov 2, 12:26 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 PM
57.86%
chance
4
99
Option
Votes
NO
YES
95
85
Will Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh resign or be removed from the Communist Party of Vietnam Politburo before 2026?
Jul 1, 2:44 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
43.26%
chance
1
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
87
Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
Nov 2, 12:23 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 PM
67.41%
chance
4
87
Option
Votes
NO
YES
107
77
Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?
Nov 2, 1:14 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 PM
40.34%
chance
4
42
Option
Votes
YES
NO
96
84
Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?
Nov 2, 3:02 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 PM
26.51%
chance
4
50
Option
Votes
YES
NO
140
62
Articles
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China Reveals Government Fund Misuse, Highlighting Fiscal Risks - Bloomberg
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