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Prediction markets for People Power Party
Prediction markets for People Power Party
Will the US have "one person, one vote" by 2050?
Jan 18, 10:30 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
9.83%
chance
20
1157
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3220
2367
In 2026, will Manifold think that Sam Altman abused Annie Altman?
Nov 18, 12:09 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
11.78%
chance
75
5163
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1855
797
Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.
Jul 13, 1:16 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
82.99%
chance
18
902
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1374
759
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
Sep 25, 8:23 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
16.85%
chance
26
3557
Option
Votes
NO
YES
964
914
Will Andrés Manuel López Obrador be the de facto head of government of Mexico on July 1st, 2025?
Mar 7, 1:49 AM
Jul 1, 1:59 PM
8.01%
chance
11
2314
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1311
929
Will evidence emerge that Bo Xilai kidnapped Xi Jinping during a power struggle prior to Xi's ascension to Chairman?
Apr 9, 10:42 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7.02%
chance
17
606
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1155
961
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
51%
chance
7
59
Option
Votes
YES
NO
156
143
Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?
Nov 2, 12:48 PM
Apr 1, 3:59 PM
63%
chance
3
61
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
80
Articles
Latest stories
Yoon's People Power Party Suffers Major Setback in South Korea Elections
Authors
26
3 months
Asia
World
South Korea's PM Han Duck-soo and Officials Resign After People Power Party's Defeat
Authors
13
3 months
China
Economics
World
South Korea's Opposition to Hold Majority in 300-Seat Parliament, Yoon's PPP Wins 87-105 Seats
Authors
51
3 months
China
World
Politics
South Korea's People Power Party Delays Bitcoin ETF Promise and Cryptocurrency Regulation Easing, Including Ban on Local Bitcoin ETFs
Authors
5
4 months
Crypto
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