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Palestinian Hamas News
Prediction markets for Palestinian Hamas
Prediction markets for Palestinian Hamas
[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 11, 5:55 PM
Nov 2, 6:59 AM
410
166337
[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 7, 11:35 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
129
72052
[Even more numbers/bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 13, 5:02 AM
Mar 1, 7:59 AM
12
3550
How many Palestinian prisoners will Israel release in exchange for Hamas hostages?
Nov 2, 4:12 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
23
1195
Will the Palestinian Authority take over Gaza deposing Hamas by the end of September 2024 ?
Oct 11, 2:18 PM
Sep 30, 3:59 AM
21.19%
chance
8
193
Option
Votes
YES
NO
190
73
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
332
289768
If there is another temporary ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, will Netanyahu’s coalition collapse?
Mar 18, 8:55 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
34.61%
chance
17
1441
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1252
822
🇮🇱 Did Israel fire into the crowd during the February 29th aid convoy incident?
Mar 20, 5:56 AM
Aug 1, 6:59 AM
62.96%
chance
28
1870
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1356
699
Will Fatah and Hamas have a public reconciliation by 2026?
Apr 29, 2:26 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
31.82%
chance
12
189
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1155
908
Will Hamas negotiate to release more 10/7 hostages before a permanent ceasefire ?
Dec 20, 7:41 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.14%
chance
25
2220
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1289
685
Will Mohammed Dahlan return to Gaza by 2025?
Nov 2, 6:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.7%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
90
55
How many Hamas combatants will be killed in the 2023 Israel-Hamas war
Nov 17, 5:54 AM
Nov 1, 6:59 AM
32
2838
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