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Owls News
Prediction markets for Owls
Prediction markets for Owls
Writers' Room: Which of my comedy video ideas will have above-median performance?
Oct 21, 12:05 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
16
743
Which of these IUCN critically endangered ("Red List") species will still be extant in 2040?
Apr 25, 11:29 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
20
3911
Which mammal/ bird will be reintroduced/reestablished in Europe ( as a wild/freeroaming breeding population) next?
Sep 24, 1:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
2
7
Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?
Sep 13, 12:23 AM
Sep 13, 6:59 AM
85%
chance
32
3528
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1488
824
Will a text-to-image model replicate the book cover of "Artificial Intelligence: Safety and Security" before 2025?
Oct 1, 11:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
62%
chance
9
251
Option
Votes
NO
YES
257
171
Will any Manifold users be discovered to be in cawhoots before the end of 2030?
Nov 4, 8:03 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
9.63%
chance
4
176
Option
Votes
YES
NO
162
37
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