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Prediction markets for Our Next Energy

Destiny v Dan on Ray Guns: Will a directed Energy weapon be discovered within the next year?

Apr 4, 4:24 PMApr 4, 1:29 PM

14.93%chance

302105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

1231

Will a significant breakthrough in renewable energy storage technology be announced within the next year?

Feb 10, 8:44 PMFeb 11, 4:59 AM

28%chance

9255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

108

Will humanity get its hydrocarbon energy via solar-powered hydrocarbon synthesis in the next 20 years (ie by 2035)

Mar 24, 10:42 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

36%chance

10410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

169

Will renewable energy stocks see an increase in value over the next six months?

Feb 2, 6:04 PMJul 31, 6:59 PM

39.07%chance

8100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

146

Will Avalanche Energy deliver a prototype of next-gen space propulsion for qualification testing by 12/31/2025?

Aug 10, 9:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.49%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

274

43

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Dec 20, 3:47 PMDec 27, 11:59 PM

120

Will Manifold help me pivot my career by the end of 2024?

Jun 9, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.55%chance

141360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10098

9894

Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?

Oct 19, 5:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.9%chance

7010419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4404

937

Will a new solid-state battery with an energy density exceeding 400 Wh/kg be commercially released by the end of 2024?

Nov 15, 5:44 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

25.51%chance

14585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

930

Will the "Havana syndrome" attacks be attributed to Russia in the next 2 years?

Apr 3, 6:40 PMApr 4, 3:59 AM

23.41%chance

251958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

856

[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

Oct 13, 4:17 PMJul 2, 5:00 PM

74.38%chance

363184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1230

810

Will Betavolt implement nuclear battery working up to 50 years by 2025

Jan 12, 4:29 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

40.31%chance

18813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

970

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