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Prediction markets for Order of Canada

If DJT becomes president will he order an invasion of Canada?

Mar 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.25%chance

282015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2026

866

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

22.72%chance

25643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

969

Will GPT-5 be released before Jan 2025?

Jan 19, 6:26 PMJan 6, 10:59 PM

45.37%chance

342437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

553

Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2025?

Jan 19, 6:22 PMFeb 6, 10:59 PM

59.04%chance

252335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

554

Will GPT-5 be released before Mar 2025?

Jan 19, 6:14 PMMar 6, 10:59 PM

68.09%chance

15519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

782

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2038?

Mar 9, 11:14 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

32.82%chance

14388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

951

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

70.8%chance

19378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

970

Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024?

Jan 19, 6:31 PMDec 6, 10:59 PM

28.93%chance

535800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1670

441

Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?

Jan 19, 5:25 PMApr 6, 9:59 PM

73.39%chance

21691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

990

944

Will we get a cure for cancer before we get fusion reactors?

May 9, 8:50 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

21.59%chance

24502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

934

Will we get a cure for cancer before 2037?

Mar 8, 12:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

21.24%chance

15363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1165

926

Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?

Jan 19, 5:11 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

81.33%chance

18800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1289

896

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