Open the Books News

Will "The Lighthaven Campus is open for bookings" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Mar 19, 8:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

3.25%chance

4440

OptionVotes

YES

559

134

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2030?

Feb 21, 5:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43%chance

10919074

OptionVotes

YES

1394

903

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2038?

Feb 18, 1:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78.01%chance

503673

OptionVotes

YES

1116

944

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.87%chance

221229

OptionVotes

YES

1102

939

Can polyamorous relationships work? Please provide insight and experiences in the comments.

Apr 24, 2:34 PMJun 30, 2:34 PM

79.97%chance

321078

OptionVotes

YES

1219

916

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2028?

Feb 21, 11:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.72%chance

465948

OptionVotes

YES

1699

745

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2026?

Feb 21, 11:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.32%chance

161447

OptionVotes

YES

1048

967

Will Z-Library be online in the Internet after two years?

Feb 24, 8:31 PMFeb 24, 10:59 PM

92.21%chance

15759

OptionVotes

YES

1573

882

Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2024?

Feb 9, 7:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.72%chance

8179

OptionVotes

YES

255

159

Google Maps Mega Market - all feature ideas, destroy the monopoly pl SEC, by end 2024

Nov 26, 3:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

213403

Unsounded Chapter 18 - Casualty Pool

Jul 8, 4:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1470

Will the Star Wars Galactic Starcruiser be repuropsed as a conventional Star Wars hotel and/or restaurant by Oct 1,2025?

May 18, 8:39 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

36.62%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

138

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Open the Books News

Prediction markets for Open the Books

Prediction markets for Open the Books

Prediction markets for Open the Books

Will "The Lighthaven Campus is open for bookings" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2030?

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2038?

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Can polyamorous relationships work? Please provide insight and experiences in the comments.

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2028?

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2026?

Will Z-Library be online in the Internet after two years?

Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2024?

Google Maps Mega Market - all feature ideas, destroy the monopoly pl SEC, by end 2024

Unsounded Chapter 18 - Casualty Pool

Will the Star Wars Galactic Starcruiser be repuropsed as a conventional Star Wars hotel and/or restaurant by Oct 1,2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Open the Books

Prediction markets for Open the Books

Prediction markets for Open the Books

Will "The Lighthaven Campus is open for bookings" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2030?

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2038?

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Can polyamorous relationships work? Please provide insight and experiences in the comments.

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2028?

Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2026?