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on Work and Welfare News
Prediction markets for on Work and Welfare
Prediction markets for on Work and Welfare
Will any of the Top 3 labs release an initial commitment regarding AI consciousness prior to January 1, 2025?
Mar 6, 10:57 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
28%
chance
36
2262
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1066
946
Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?
May 3, 5:59 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
45.65%
chance
44
3204
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1084
892
Will Estonia ban caged hen egg farms before 2025?
Nov 3, 5:40 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
47.47%
chance
17
610
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1011
971
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 7:12 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
61.3%
chance
15
398
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1110
903
Vox Future Perfect 2024: 45 percent of the US egg supply will be cage-free by late November?
Feb 1, 5:04 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
46.84%
chance
2
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
98
81
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Reps. LaHood & Smith, Corey Brooks of Project Hood at House Ways and Means Hearing in Chicago
Authors
5
3 months
Politics
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