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Prediction markets for Officer

Will Larry, Chief Mouser to the Cabinet Office, live to see another Prime Minister?

Apr 30, 8:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.51%chance

3811095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15431

3125

Will the next president die while in office?

Aug 2, 5:44 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

29.76%chance

262838

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

715

Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)

Sep 28, 8:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22.56%chance

462506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2447

1284

Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]

May 22, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.06%chance

17029382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2344

1657

Is Trump more likely to spend 1 night in jail or 1 day as President in the Oval Office again?

Aug 5, 1:17 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

21117172

Will Netanyahu be out of office by year end 2024?

Jan 21, 4:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.67%chance

6731774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2529

293

If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will he die in office?

Feb 25, 8:37 PMNov 6, 2:59 AM

11.74%chance

221236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

913

If Joe Biden is re-elected president in 2024 will he finish out his term in office?

Jan 6, 1:05 PMNov 26, 4:59 AM

39.23%chance

231720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

436

Will the next President of the United States die in office?

Oct 13, 4:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.49%chance

17319785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1127

586

Will an explicitly racist or sexist politician get elected to major office in America by the end of 2030?

Jun 19, 3:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

46.65%chance

23680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

968

Will a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2036?

May 20, 9:03 PMJun 7, 6:59 AM

42.24%chance

391444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

823

By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?

Mar 25, 6:32 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

24.89%chance

471599

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

987

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