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Prediction markets for Office Commercial
Prediction markets for Office Commercial
During the 2024 cycle, will a GOP candidate for federal or statewide office smoke weed in a campaign commercial?
Jul 10, 7:53 PM
Nov 6, 4:59 AM
22.99%
chance
13
350
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1040
975
Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]
May 22, 4:25 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
23.06%
chance
170
29382
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2344
1657
A year from now, will Manifold think this prediction about the future of LLM's has held up?
Jun 26, 5:23 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
59.33%
chance
9
778
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1208
828
Will the delinquency rate for commercial real estate loans in the U.S. exceed 2% for any quarter before 2026?
Feb 17, 2:50 PM
Feb 2, 4:59 AM
74.5%
chance
5
79
Option
Votes
NO
YES
199
93
Will Nanotechnology Enable the Widespread Use of Diamond and/or Diamondoid Materials in Large Scale Structures by 2050?
Nov 19, 1:09 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.95%
chance
4
55
Option
Votes
YES
NO
190
149
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Microsoft Q2 Revenue Hits $62B, EPS at $2.93; Cloud and AI Drive Growth
Authors
31
5 months
Economics
AI
Business
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