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Top stories
Avantika Signs with UTA, Ariel's Agent Leaks Story to NY Post, CAA Signs Miley Cyrus after WME
Authors
4
10 days
Culture
Prediction markets for NY Post
Prediction markets for NY Post
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?
Dec 17, 3:13 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
28.7%
chance
53
2362
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1290
824
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.4%
chance
15
1070
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5673
4770
Javier Milei - Argentina's president - First Term Mega-market (5000m prize voting based contest)
Dec 18, 5:45 PM
Dec 17, 6:59 AM
102
47224
By 2025, consensus that the Indian government was behind the Nijjar assassination & Pannun assassination attempt?
Nov 29, 9:38 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
83.78%
chance
6
197
Option
Votes
NO
YES
293
106
Will there be a celebrity death hoax in 2024?
Mar 24, 9:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
27.16%
chance
7
399
Option
Votes
YES
NO
286
147
In what years there will be blog posts at https://blog.val.town/
Jan 5, 5:55 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
3
165
Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?
Dec 5, 3:35 PM
Nov 13, 4:59 AM
8
120
Global media opinion of Obama will improve from EOY 2023 to mid year 2027, according to OpenAI's best LLM
Dec 18, 9:57 PM
Jul 1, 5:59 AM
49.85%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Articles
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