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NOAH News
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Prediction markets for NOAH
Prediction markets for NOAH
Will 2024 prove to be a pivotal year for Cold War 2 as posited by Noah Smith?
Mar 20, 8:28 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
25.21%
chance
19
1082
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13210
12847
Will Noah Smith create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:11 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.48%
chance
10
140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1062
937
Will Noah Lyles break either the 100m or 200mworld record before or during the Los Angeles Olympics.
Aug 25, 6:38 AM
Aug 1, 10:59 PM
56.01%
chance
10
300
Option
Votes
NO
YES
164
136
Will Econ 102 with Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg reach episode 100?
Feb 29, 2:19 PM
May 5, 2:29 PM
62.83%
chance
1
30
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
97
Is Steve Austad the second coming of Noah of Noah's Ark?
Jan 22, 11:17 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.83%
chance
2
65
Option
Votes
YES
NO
155
58
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
Aug 18, 4:14 PM
Feb 2, 4:59 AM
173
38042
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
290728
Which books in this list will I "really like"?
Mar 27, 3:20 PM
Mar 28, 6:59 AM
122
18313
Who will be on an episode of Conversations with Tyler in 2024?
Dec 5, 8:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30
13342
Which of these people will Destiny talk to before the end of 2024?
Mar 31, 10:56 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
56
37427
2024 Billboard Hot 100 Number 1s [Mega Market] 🧑🎤🎤🥇
Jan 9, 1:35 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
11
11219
Name the top popular and rising baby names for 2024 in the USA!
Dec 4, 2:02 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
4
162
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